Item 1A. Risk Factors
Cautionary Statement Regarding
Forward-looking Statements
Certain expectations and projections regarding our future
performance referenced in this report, in other reports or proxy
statements we file with the SEC or otherwise release to the public,
and on our website are forward-looking statements. Senior officers
and other employees may also make verbal statements to analysts,
investors, regulators, the media and others that are forward-looking.
Forward-looking statements involve matters that are not historical
facts, such as statements in “Item 7, Management’s Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and
elsewhere regarding our future operations, prospects, strategies,
financial condition, economic performance (including growth and
earnings), industry conditions and demand for our products and
services. We have tried, whenever possible, to identify these
statements by using words such as “anticipate,” “assume,” “believe,”
“can,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “future,” “goal,”
“indicate,” “intend,” "may,” “outlook,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,”
“project,” “seek,” “should,” “target,” “would,” or similar expressions.
You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on our forwardlooking
statements. Our expectations are not guarantees and are
based on currently available competitive, financial and economic data
along with our operating plans. While we believe that our
expectations for the future are reasonable in view of the currently
available information, our expectations are subject to future events,
risks and uncertainties, and there are numerous factors — many
beyond our control — that could cause results to differ significantly
from our expectations. Such events, risks and uncertainties include,
but are not limited to those set forth below and in the other
documents that we file with the SEC. We note these factors for
investors as permitted by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act
of 1995. There also may be other factors that we cannot anticipate
or that are not described in this report, generally because we do not
perceive them to be material, which could cause results to differ
significantly from our expectations.
Forward-looking statements are only as of the date they
are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update
these statements to reflect subsequent circumstances or
events. You are advised, however, to review any further
disclosures we make on related subjects in our Form 10-Q
and Form 8-K reports to the SEC.
Risks Related to Our Business
Risks related to the regulation of our businesses could affect
the rates we are able to charge, our costs and our profitability. Our businesses are subject to regulation by federal, state and local
regulatory authorities. In particular, at the federal level our businesses
are regulated by the FERC. At the state level, our businesses are
regulated by the Georgia, Tennessee, New Jersey, Florida, Virginia
and Maryland regulatory authorities.
These authorities regulate many aspects of our operations,
including construction and maintenance of facilities, operations,
safety, rates that we charge customers, rates of return, the authorized
cost of capital, recovery of costs associated with our regulatory
infrastructure projects, including our pipeline replacement programs,
and environmental remediation activities, relationships with our
affiliates, and carrying costs we chargeMarketers selling retail natural
gas in Georgia for gas held in storage for their customer accounts.
Our ability to obtain rate increases and rate supplements to maintain
our current rates of return and recover regulatory assets and liabilities
recorded in accordance with authoritative guidance related to
regulated operations depends on regulatory discretion, and there can
be no assurance that we will be able to obtain rate increases or rate
supplements or continue receiving our currently authorized rates of
return including the recovery of our regulatory assets and liabilities. In
addition, if we fail to comply with applicable regulations, we could be
subject to fines, penalties or other enforcement action by the
authorities that regulate our operations, or otherwise be subject to
material costs and liabilities.
Deregulation in the natural gas industry is the separation of the
provision and pricing of local distribution gas services into discrete
components. Deregulation typically focuses on the separation of the
gas distribution business fromthe gas sales business and is intended
to cause the opening of the formerly regulated sales business to
alternative unregulated suppliers of gas sales services.
In 1997, Georgia enacted legislation allowing deregulation of
gas distribution operations. To date, Georgia is the only state in the
nation that has fully deregulated gas distribution operations, which
ultimately resulted in Atlanta Gas Light exiting the retail natural gas
sales business while retaining its gas distribution operations.
Marketers, including our majority-owned subsidiary, SouthStar, then
assumed the retail gas sales responsibility at deregulated prices. The
deregulation process required Atlanta Gas Light to completely
reorganize its operations and personnel at significant expense. It is
possible that the legislature could reverse or amend portions of the
deregulation process.
Our business is subject to environmental regulation in
all jurisdictions in which we operate, and our costs to
comply are significant. Any changes in existing environmental
regulation could affect our results of operations and
financial condition.
Our operations and properties are subject to extensive
environmental regulation pursuant to a variety of federal, state and
municipal laws and regulations. Such environmental legislation
imposes, among other things, restrictions, liabilities and obligations
in connection with storage, transportation, treatment and disposal
of hazardous substances and waste and in connection with spills,
releases and emissions of various substances into the environment.
Environmental legislation also requires that our facilities, sites and
other properties associated with our operations be operated,
maintained, abandoned and reclaimed to the satisfaction of
applicable regulatory authorities. Our current costs to comply with
these laws and regulations are significant to our results of
operations and financial condition. Failure to comply with these laws
and regulations and failure to obtain any required permits and
licenses may expose us to fines, penalties or interruptions in our
operations that could be material to our results of operations.
In addition, claims against us under environmental laws and
regulations could result in material costs and liabilities. Existing
environmental regulations could also be revised or reinterpreted, new
laws and regulations could be adopted or become applicable to us
or our facilities, and future changes in environmental laws and
regulations could occur. With the trend toward stricter standards,
greater regulation, more extensive permit requirements and an
increase in the number and types of assets operated by us subject
to environmental regulation, our environmental expenditures could
increase in the future, particularly if those costs are not fully
recoverable from our customers. Additionally, the discovery of
presently unknown environmental conditions could give rise to
expenditures and liabilities, including fines or penalties, which could
have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations
or financial condition.
Our infrastructure improvement and customer growthmay be
restricted by the capital-intensive nature of our business.
We must construct additions to our natural gas distribution system
to continue the expansion of our customer base and improve
system reliability, especially during peak usage. We may also need
to construct expansions of our existing natural gas storage facilities
or develop and construct new natural gas storage facilities. The
cost of this construction may be affected by the cost of obtaining
government and other approvals, development project delays,
adequacy of supply of diversified vendors, or unexpected changes
in project costs. Weather, general economic conditions and the
cost of funds to finance our capital projects can materially alter the
cost, and projected construction schedule and completion timeline
of a project. Our cash flows may not be fully adequate to finance
the cost of this construction. As a result, we may be required to
fund a portion of our cash needs through borrowings or the
issuance of common stock, or both. For our distribution operations
segment, this may limit our ability to expand our infrastructure to
connect new customers due to limits on the amount we can
economically invest, which shifts costs to potential customers and
may make it uneconomical for them to connect to our distribution
systems. For our natural gas storage business, this may significantly
reduce our earnings and return on investment from what would be
expected for this business, or may impair our ability to complete
the expansions or development projects.
We may be exposed to certain regulatory and financial risks
related to climate change.
Climate change is receiving ever increasing attention from scientists
and legislators alike. The debate is ongoing as to the extent to
which our climate is changing, the potential causes of this change
and its potential impacts. Some attribute global warming to
increased levels of greenhouse gases, including carbon dioxide,
which has led to significant legislative and regulatory efforts to limit
greenhouse gas emissions.
Presently there are no federally mandated greenhouse gas
reduction requirements in the United States. However, in June 2009
the United States House of Representatives passed bill H.R. 2454,
American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009, which proposes
reducing greenhouse gas emissions to 17% below 2005 levels by
2020 and 83% below 2005 levels by 2050. The bill has now passed
to the United States Senate for debate and vote. Consequently, the
precise federal mandatory carbon dioxide emissions reduction
program that may be adopted and the specific requirements of any
such program are uncertain.
There are a number of legislative and regulatory proposals to
address greenhouse gas emissions, which are in various phases of
discussion or implementation. The outcome of federal and state
actions to address global climate change could result in a variety of
regulatory programs including potential new regulations, additional
charges to fund energy efficiency activities, or other regulatory
actions. These actions could:
- result in increased costs associated with our operations
- increase other costs to our business
- affect the demand for natural gas, and
- impact the prices we charge our customers.
Because natural gas is a fossil fuel with low carbon content, it
is possible that future carbon constraints could create additional
demand for natural gas, both for production of electricity and direct
use in homes and businesses.
Any adoption by federal or state governments mandating a
substantial reduction in greenhouse gas emissions could have farreaching
and significant impacts on the energy industry. We cannot predict the potential impact of such laws or regulations on our future
consolidated financial condition, results of operations or cash flows.
Transporting and storing natural gas involves numerous
risks that may result in accidents and other operating risks
and costs.
Our gas distribution and storage activities involve a variety of inherent
hazards and operating risks, such as leaks, accidents, including third
party damages, and mechanical problems, which could cause
substantial financial losses. In addition, these risks could result in
serious injury to employees and non-employees, loss of human life,
significant damage to property, environmental pollution and
impairment of our operations, which in turn could lead to substantial
losses to us. In accordance with customary industry practice, we
maintain insurance against some, but not all, of these risks and
losses. The location of pipelines and storage facilities near populated
areas, including residential areas, commercial business centers and
industrial sites, could increase the level of damages resulting from
these risks. The occurrence of any of these events not fully covered
by insurance could adversely affect our financial position and results
of operations.
We face increasing competition, and if we are unable to
compete effectively, our revenues, operating results and
financial condition will be adversely affected which may limit
our ability to grow our business.
The natural gas business is highly competitive, increasingly complex,
and we are facing increasing competition from other companies that
supply energy, including electric companies, oil and propane
providers and, in some cases, energy marketing and trading
companies. In particular, the success of our investment in SouthStar
is affected by the competition SouthStar faces from other energy
marketers providing retail natural gas services in the Southeast.
Natural gas competes with other forms of energy. The primary
competitive factor is price. Changes in the price or availability of
natural gas relative to other forms of energy and the ability of endusers
to convert to alternative fuels affect the demand for natural gas.
In the case of commercial, industrial and agricultural customers,
adverse economic conditions, including higher gas costs, could also
cause these customers to bypass or disconnect from our systems in
favor of special competitive contracts with lower per-unit costs.
Our wholesale services segment competes with national and
regional full-service energy providers, energy merchants and
producers and pipelines for sales based on our ability to aggregate
competitively priced commodities with transportation and storage
capacity. Some of our competitors are larger and better capitalized
than we are and have more national and global exposure than we
do. The consolidation of this industry and the pricing to gain market
share may affect our operating margin. We expect this trend to
continue in the near term, and the increasing competition for asset
management deals could result in downward pressure on the volume
of transactions and the related operating margin available in this
portion of Sequent’s business.
The continuation of recent economic conditions could
adversely affect our customers and negatively impact our
financial results.
The slowdown in the U.S. economy, along with increased mortgage
defaults, and significant decreases in new home construction, home
values and investment assets, has adversely impacted the financial
well-being of many U.S. households. We cannot predict if the
administrative and legislative actions to address this situation will be
successful in reducing the severity or duration of this recession. As a
result, our customersmay use less gas in future heating seasons and
it may become more difficult for them to pay their natural gas bills.
This may slow collections and lead to higher than normal levels of
accounts receivables, bad debt and financing requirements.
A significant portion of our accounts receivable is subject to
collection risks, due in part to a concentration of credit risk in
Georgia and at Sequent.
We have accounts receivable collection risk in Georgia due to a
concentration of credit risk related to the provision of natural gas
services to Marketers. At December 31, 2009, Atlanta Gas Light had
nine certificated and active Marketers and one regulated natural gas
provider in Georgia responsible for offering natural gas to low-income
customers and customers unable to get natural gas service from
other Marketers, four of which (based on customer count and
including SouthStar) accounted for approximately 31% of our
consolidated operatingmargin for 2009. As a result, Atlanta Gas Light
depends on a concentrated number of customers for revenues. The
provisions of Atlanta Gas Light’s tariff allow it to obtain security
support in an amount equal to no less than two times a Marketer’s
highest month’s estimated bill in the form of cash deposits, letters of
credit, surety bonds or guaranties. The failure of these Marketers to
pay Atlanta Gas Light could adversely affect Atlanta Gas Light’s
business and results of operations and expose it to difficulties in
collecting Atlanta Gas Light’s accounts receivable. AGL Resources
provides a guarantee to Atlanta Gas Light as security support for
SouthStar. Additionally, SouthStar markets directly to end-use
customers and has periodically experienced credit losses as a result
of severe cold weather or high prices for natural gas that increase
customers’ bills and, consequently, impair customers’ ability to pay.
Sequent often extends credit to its counterparties. Despite
performing credit analyses prior to extending credit and seeking to
effectuate netting agreements, Sequent is exposed to the risk that it
may not be able to collect amounts owed to it. If the counterparty to
such a transaction fails to perform and any collateral Sequent has
secured is inadequate, Sequent could experience material financial
losses. Further, Sequent has a concentration of credit risk, which
could subject a significant portion of its credit exposure to collection
risks. Approximately 58% of Sequent’s credit exposure is concentrated in its top 20 counterparties. Most of this concentration
is with counterparties that are either load-serving utilities or end-use
customers that have supplied some level of credit support. Default by
any of these counterparties in their obligations to pay amounts due
Sequent could result in credit losses that would negatively impact
our wholesale services segment.
The asset management arrangements between Sequent and
our local distribution companies, and between Sequent and
its nonaffiliated customers, may not be renewed or may be
renewed at lower levels,which could have a significant impact
on Sequent’s business.
Sequent currently manages the storage and transportation assets of
our affiliates Atlanta Gas Light, Chattanooga Gas, Elizabethtown Gas,
Elkton Gas, Florida City Gas, and Virginia Natural Gas and shares
profits it earns from the management of those assets with those
customers and their respective customers, except at Elkton Gas
where Sequent is assessed annual fixed-fees payable in monthly
installments. Entry into and renewal of these agreements are subject
to regulatory approval and none are subject to renewal until 2011. In
addition, Sequent has asset management agreements with certain
nonaffiliated customers. Sequent’s results could be significantly
impacted if these agreements are not renewed or are amended or
renewed with less favorable terms.
We are exposed to market risk and may incur losses in
wholesale services and retail energy operations.
The commodity, storage and transportation portfolios at Sequent and
the commodity and storage portfolios at SouthStar consist of
contracts to buy and sell natural gas commodities, including
contracts that are settled by the delivery of the commodity or cash.
If the values of these contracts change in a direction or manner that
we do not anticipate, we could experience financial losses from our
trading activities. Based on a 95%confidence interval and employing
a 1-day holding period for all positions, Sequent’s and SouthStar’s
portfolio of positions as of December 31, 2009 had a 1-day holding
period VaR of $2.4 million and less than $0.1 million, respectively.
Our accounting results may not be indicative of the risks
we are taking or the economic results we expect for
wholesale services.
Although Sequent enters into various contracts to hedge the value of
our energy assets and operations, the timing of the recognition of
profits or losses on the hedges does not always correspond to the
profits or losses on the item being hedged. The difference in
accounting can result in volatility in Sequent’s reported results, even
though the expected operating margin is essentially unchanged from
the date the transactions were initiated.
Changes in weather conditions may affect our earnings.
Weather conditions and other natural phenomena can have a large
impact on our earnings. Severe weather conditions can impact our
suppliers and the pipelines that deliver gas to our distribution system.
Extended mild weather, during either the winter or summer period,
can have a significant impact on demand for and cost of natural gas.
We have a WNA mechanism for Elizabethtown Gas and
Chattanooga Gas that partially offsets the impact of unusually cold or
warm weather on residential and commercial customer billings and
our operating margin. At Elizabethtown Gas we could be required to
return a portion of any WNA surcharge to its customers if
Elizabethtown Gas’ return on equity exceeds its authorized return on
equity of 10%.
Additionally, Virginia Natural Gas has a WNA mechanism for its
residential customers that partially offset the impacts of unusually
cold or warm weather. In September 2007, the Virginia Commission
approved Virginia Natural Gas’ application for an Experimental
Weather Normalization Adjustment Rider (the Rider) for its
commercial customers. The Rider applied to the 2007 and 2008
heating seasons. In September 2009 the Rider was extended to
September 2011.
These WNA regulatory mechanisms are most effective in a
reasonable temperature range relative to normal weather using
historical averages. The protection afforded by theWNA depends on
continued regulatory approval. The loss of this continued regulatory
approval could make us more susceptible to weather-related
earnings fluctuations.
Changes in weather conditions may also impact SouthStar’s
earnings. As a result, SouthStar uses a variety of weather derivative
instruments to stabilize the impact on its operating margin in the
event of warmer or colder than normal weather in the winter months.
However, these instruments do not fully protect SouthStar’s earnings
from the effects of unusually warm or cold weather.
A decrease in the availability of adequate pipeline transportation
capacity could reduce our revenues and profits.
Our gas supply depends on the availability of adequate pipeline transportation
and storage capacity. We purchase a substantial portion
of our gas supply from interstate sources. Interstate pipeline companies
transport the gas to our system. A decrease in interstate
pipeline capacity available to us or an increase in competition for
interstate pipeline transportation and storage service could reduce
our normal interstate supply of gas.
Our profitabilitymay decline if the counterparties to Sequent’s
assetmanagement transactions fail to performin accordance
with Sequent’s agreements.
Sequent focuses on capturing the value from idle or underutilized
energy assets, typically by executing transactions that balance the
needs of various markets and time horizons. Sequent is exposed
to the risk that counterparties to our transactions will not perform
their obligations. Should the counterparties to these arrangements
fail to perform, we might be forced to enter into alternative hedging
arrangements, honor the underlying commitment at then-
32 current market prices or return a significant portion of the
consideration received for gas. In such events, we might incur
additional losses to the extent of amounts, if any, already paid to or
received from counterparties.
We could incur additionalmaterial costs for the environmental
condition of some of our assets, including former manufactured
gas plants.
We are generally responsible for all on-site and certain off-site liabilities
associated with the environmental condition of the natural gas assets
that we have operated, acquired or developed, regardless of when
the liabilities arose and whether they are or were known or unknown.
In addition, in connection with certain acquisitions and sales of
assets, we may obtain, or be required to provide, indemnification
against certain environmental liabilities. Before natural gas was widely
available, we manufactured gas from coal and other fuels. Those
manufacturing operations were known as MGPs, which we ceased
operating in the 1950s.
We have confirmed ten sites in Georgia and three in Florida
where we own all or part of an MGP site. One additional former MGP
site has been recently identified adjacent to an existing MGP
remediation site. Precise engineering soil and groundwater clean up
estimates are not available and considerable variability exists with this
potential new site. We are required to investigate possible
environmental contamination at those MGP sites and, if necessary,
clean up any contamination. As of December 31, 2009, the soil and
sediment remediation program was substantially complete for all
Georgia sites, except for a few remaining areas of recently discovered
impact, although groundwater cleanup continues. As of December
31, 2009, projected costs associated with the MGP sites associated
with Atlanta Gas Light range from $64 million to $113 million. For
elements of the MGP program where we still cannot provide
engineering cost estimates, considerable variability remains in future
cost estimates.
In addition, we are associated with former sites in New Jersey,
North Carolina and other states. Material cleanups of these sites have
not been completed nor are precise estimates available for future
cleanup costs and therefore considerable variability remains in future
cost estimates. For the New Jersey sites, cleanup cost estimates
range from$69million to $134million. Costs have been estimated for
only one of the non-New Jersey sites, for which current estimates
range from $11 million to $16 million.
Inflation and increased gas costs could adversely impact our
ability to control operating expenses, increase our level of
indebtedness and adversely impact our customer base.
Inflation has caused increases in certain operating expenses that
have required us to replace assets at higher costs. We attempt to
control costs in part through implementation of best practices and
business process improvements, many of which are facilitated
through investments in information systems and technology.We have
a process in place to continually review the adequacy of our utility
gas rates in relation to the increasing cost of providing service and the
inherent regulatory lag in adjusting those gas rates. Historically, we
have been able to budget and control operating expenses and
investments within the amounts authorized to be collected in rates,
and we intend to continue to do so. However, any inability by us to
control our expenses in a reasonable manner would adversely
influence our future results.
Rapid increases in the price of purchased gas cause us to
experience a significant increase in short-termdebt because wemust
pay suppliers for gas when it is purchased, which can be significantly
in advance of when these costs may be recovered through the
collection of monthly customer bills for gas delivered. Increases in
purchased gas costs also slow our utility collection efforts as
customers are more likely to delay the payment of their gas bills,
leading to higher-than-normal accounts receivable. This situation
results in higher short-term debt levels and increased bad debt
expense. Should the price of purchased gas increase significantly
during the upcoming heating season, we would expect increases in
our short-term debt, accounts receivable and bad debt expense
during 2010.
Finally, higher costs of natural gas in recent years have already
caused many of our utility customers to conserve in the use of our
gas services and could lead to even more customers utilizing such
conservation methods or switching to other competing products.
The higher costs have also allowed competition from products
utilizing alternative energy sources for applications that have
traditionally used natural gas, encouraging some customers to move
away from natural gas fired equipment to equipment fueled by other
energy sources.
The cost of providing pension and postretirement health care
benefits to eligible employees and qualified retirees is subject
to changes in pension fund values and changing demographics
and may have a material adverse effect on our
financial results.
We have defined benefit pension and postretirement health care
plans for the benefit of substantially all full-time employees and
qualified retirees. The cost of providing these benefits to eligible
current and former employees is subject to changes in the market
value of our pension fund assets, changing demographics, including
longer life expectancy of beneficiaries and changes in health care
cost trends.
Any sustained declines in equitymarkets and reductions in bond
yields may have a material adverse effect on the value of our pension
funds. In these circumstances, we may be required to recognize an
increased pension expense or a charge to our other comprehensive
income to the extent that the pension fund values are less than the
total anticipated liability under the plans. Market declines in the
second half of 2008 resulted in significant losses in the value of our
pension fund assets. Although the market made a recovery in 2009 our pension fund assets are not at the levels they were prior to the
market decline in 2008. As a result, based on the current funding
status of the plans, we would be required to make a minimum
contribution to the plans of approximately $21 million in 2010. We
are planning to make additional contributions in 2010 up to
$17 million, for a total of up to $38 million, in order to preserve the
current level of benefits under the plans and in accordance with the
funding requirements of The Pension Protection Act of 2006 (Pension
Protection Act). As of December 31, 2009 our pension plans assets
represented 65% of our total pension plan obligations.
For more information regarding some of these obligations, see
Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations” under the caption “Contractual
Obligations and Commitments” and the subheading “Pension and
Postretirement Obligations” and Note 3 “Employee Benefit Plans,”
set forth in Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”
Natural disasters, terrorist activities and the potential for military
and other actions could adversely affect our businesses.
Natural disasters may damage our assets. The threat of terrorism
and the impact of retaliatory military and other action by the United
States and its allies may lead to increased political, economic and
financial market instability and volatility in the price of natural gas
that could affect our operations. In addition, future acts of terrorism
could be directed against companies operating in the United States,
and companies in the energy industry may face a heightened risk of
exposure to acts of terrorism. These developments have subjected
our operations to increased risks. The insurance industry has also
been disrupted by these events. As a result, the availability of insurance
covering risks against which we and our competitors typically
insure may be limited. In addition, the insurance we are able to
obtain may have higher deductibles, higher premiums and more
restrictive policy terms.
Risks Related toOur Corporate and Financial Structure
We depend on our ability to successfully access the capital
and financial markets. Any inability to access the capital or
financial markets may limit our ability to execute our
business plan or pursue improvements that we may rely on
for future growth.
We rely on access to both short-term money markets (in the form
of commercial paper and lines of credit) and long-term capital markets
as a source of liquidity for capital and operating requirements
not satisfied by the cash flow from our operations. If we are not able
to access financial markets at competitive rates, our ability to implement
our business plan and strategy will be negatively affected, and
we may be forced to postpone, modify or cancel capital projects.
Certain market disruptions may increase our cost of borrowing or
34
AGL Resources Inc. 2009 Annual Report
affect our ability to access one or more financial markets. Such
market disruptions could result from:
- adverse economic conditions
- adverse general capital market conditions
- poor performance and health of the utility industry in general
- bankruptcy or financial distress of unrelated energy companies or Marketers
- significant decrease in the demand for natural gas
- adverse regulatory actions that affect our local gas distribution companies and our natural gas storage business
- terrorist attacks on our facilities or our suppliers, or
- extreme weather conditions.
The continued disruption in the creditmarkets could limit our
ability to access capital and increase our cost of capital.
The global credit markets experienced significant disruption and
volatility in recent years. In some cases, the ability or willingness of
traditional sources of capital to provide financing has been reduced.
Historically, we have accessed the commercial paper markets
to finance our short-term working capital requirements, but the disruption
in the credit markets limited our access to the commercial
paper markets at reasonable interest rates in 2008. Consequently,
we borrowed directly under our Credit Facility in 2008 for our working
capital needs.While the commercial paper market has stabilized
in 2009 and allowed us to repay the amounts borrowed directly from
our Credit Facility, it has not returned to its pre-recession state. As
of December 31, 2009, we had $601 million in commercial paper
outstanding and no outstanding borrowings under our Credit Facility.
During 2009, our borrowings under this facility along with our commercial
paper were used primarily to purchase natural gas inventories
for the current winter heating season. The amount of our
working capital requirements in the near-term will depend primarily
on the market price of natural gas and weather. Higher natural gas
prices may adversely impact our accounts receivable collections
and may require us to increase borrowings under our credit facility
to fund our operations.
While we believe we can meet our capital requirements from
our operations and the sources of financing available to us, we can
provide no assurance that we will continue to be able to do so in the
future, especially if the market price of natural gas increases significantly
in the near-term. The future effects on our business, liquidity
and financial results of a continuation of current market conditions
could be material and adverse to us, both in the ways described
above, or in ways that we do not currently anticipate.
If we breach any of the financial covenants under our various
credit facilities, our debt service obligations could be
accelerated.
Our existing Credit Facility and the SouthStar line of credit contain
financial covenants. If we breach any of the financial covenants under these agreements, our debt repayment obligations under
them could be accelerated. In such event, we may not be able to
refinance or repay all our indebtedness, which would result in a
material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and
financial condition.
A downgrade in our credit rating could negatively affect our
ability to access capital.
Our senior unsecured debt is currently assigned a rating of BBB+ by
S&P, Baa1 by Moody’s and A- by Fitch.
Our commercial paper
currently is rated A-2 by S&P, P-2 by Moody’s and F2 by Fitch. If
the rating agencies downgrade our ratings, particularly below investment
grade, it may significantly limit our access to the commercial
paper market and our borrowing costs would increase. In addition,
we would likely be required to pay a higher interest rate in future
financings and our potential pool of investors and funding sources
would likely decrease.
Additionally, if our credit rating by either S&P or Moody’s falls to
non-investment grade status, we will be required to provide additional
support for certain customers of our wholesale business. As
of December 31, 2009, if our credit rating had fallen below investment
grade, we would have been required to provide collateral of
approximately $25 million to continue conducting our wholesale
services business with certain counterparties.
We are vulnerable to interest rate risk with respect to our
debt, which could lead to changes in interest expense and
adversely affect our earnings.
We are subject to interest rate risk in connection with the issuance
of fixed-rate and variable-rate debt. In order to maintain our desired
mix of fixed-rate and variable-rate debt, we may use interest rate
swap agreements and exchange fixed-rate and variable-rate interest
payment obligations over the life of the arrangements, without
exchange of the underlying principal amounts. For additional information,
see Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About
Market Risk.” We cannot ensure that we will be successful in structuring
such swap agreements to manage our risks effectively. If we
are unable to do so, our earnings may be reduced. In addition,
higher interest rates, all other things equal, reduce the earnings that
we derive from transactions where we capture the difference
between authorized returns and short-term borrowings.
We are a holding company and are dependent on cash flow
from our subsidiaries, which may not be available in the
amounts and at the times we need.
A portion of our outstanding debt was issued by our wholly-owned
subsidiary, AGL Capital, which we fully and unconditionally guarantee.
Since we are a holding company and have no operations
separate from our investment in our subsidiaries, we are dependent
on cash in the form of dividends or other distributions from our
subsidiaries to meet our cash requirements. The ability of our
subsidiaries to pay dividends and make other distributions is subject
to applicable state law. Refer to Item 5, “Market for the Registrant’s
Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases
of Equity Securities” for additional dividend restriction information.
The use of derivative contracts in the normal course of our
business could result in financial losses that negatively
impact our results of operations.
We use derivatives, including futures, forwards and swaps, to manage
our commodity and financial market risks. We could recognize
financial losses on these contracts as a result of volatility in the market
values of the underlying commodities or if a counterparty fails
to perform under a contract. In the absence of actively quoted
market prices and pricing information from external sources, the
valuation of these derivative financial instruments can involve management’s
judgment or use of estimates.
As a result, changes in the
underlying assumptions or use of alternative valuation methods
could adversely affect the value of the reported fair value of
these contracts.
As a result of cross-default provisions in our borrowing
arrangements, we may be unable to satisfy all our
outstanding obligations in the event of a default on our part.
Our Credit Facility under which our debt is issued contains crossdefault
provisions. Accordingly, should an event of default occur
under some of our debt agreements, we face the prospect of being
in default under other of our debt agreements, obligated in such
instance to satisfy a large portion of our outstanding indebtedness
and unable to satisfy all our outstanding obligations simultaneously.


